Before you view some of the race day files, let me warn you about what you will
see. Because if you are an experienced handicapper, and who amongst us is not,
you will undoubtedly snicker at at your first look because some races will have
many horses listed and one of them might win. Probably for $6.00 or less. So
let me cut you off in mid-snicker. Simply put, it ain't like that.
Yes, I know. ANYONE can list all the horses in a race and have the winner. But
that's not what you are looking at. What you will see in this example is a race that has been
contested by many fast horses. Yes, the kind of race you often pass. And the
winner is buried somewhere in the mid to bottom of the listing.
Well, these lists don't live by themselves.
They are used best with sharp handicapping. Maybe,
that horse was coming off a layoff. It ran in a moderately fast race last time
while stretching its legs en route to better competition. Maybe the trip was a
troubled one. Maybe Slew's listing has clues as to
what might happen in this race. Click the button - for an example.
The first thing you see is nine (9) horses. Anyone can have a winner betting 9
horses. But in fact, there are really only 5 listed because Willyconker, El Gato Malo
and Compari are listed twice. Two fast races for each. Then, Posse Power was
scratched. And then there were five.
All of a sudden, it's not every horse in the race. In fact,
now the picture is a little clearer and we see the
winner as not only the favorite, but having the largest drop of our group: -31K.
Our top horse, Willyconker, was +23K, the lowest money earner of the group. BUT
coming off a win in a very sharp effort (a 4 FHF) he earned his way into this
race and he ran well against a front
running and classy Compari.
In fact, Compari had last run a 2nd in a $60K stakes the previous November at Hollywood
Park before winning this race. Prior to that, he was off for 6 months with a
splint problem. And before that, he had won 6 consecutive races concluding the
streak with the Arcadia stakes. So while Willyconker's fast race puts him at the head
of this class, Compari (who won this race leading at each call in 1:34.38) was
the class of the race. And while the payoffs weren't great, if you understood
what you were looking at, a $20 trifecta 2/9,1/9,1 returns $590.00. With a $3.60
favorite on top, I'll take
that any day.
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